Tesla is one of the world's most closely watched stocks. As of August 24, 2026, TSLA trades near $348.95 (Investing.com; day range: $348.26–$363.24; 52-week range: $297.38–$498.83) — down from $394 in mid-July and sharply below the May 2026 peak near $446. The decline reflects a combination of a Q2 earnings miss (EPS $0.33 vs estimate $0.49), falling automotive margins (16.3% vs 19.2% prior), China recall of 3 million vehicles over door handles (August 21), a senior AI chip engineer departure to DensityAI, and Trump's announcement of 50% tariffs on Canadian autos from 2027. The market cap has contracted to approximately $1.12 trillion. Despite the headwinds, Tesla is pressing forward: the Cybercab robotaxi is reported to be launching in Austin (The Information, Aug 17), Robotaxi miles are growing 10% weekly, and energy storage deployments hit 13.5 GWh in Q2 (second-largest quarter in history).
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Annual projected average price summary (base-case models):
| Year | Projected Average Price ($) |
|---|---|
| 2026 | $370 (revised down from $407 |
| 2027 | $475 |
| 2028 | $547 |
| 2029 | $619 |
| 2030 | $690 |
Tesla reported Q2 2026 results on July 22, 2026. Revenue of $28.24B beat estimates by 10.53%, but EPS of $0.33 missed forecasts by 32.65%, triggering a stock decline. Key margin deterioration: automotive gross margin fell to 16.3% from 19.2% the prior quarter, while energy margins dropped to 20.4% from 39.5% amid pricing pressure and one-time cost adjustments. Tesla guided 2026 capex above $25B and is arranging up to $30B in debt facilities to fund Robotaxi, Optimus, and AI chip manufacturing.
| Metric | Q2 2026 Result | vs Estimate / Prior Quarter | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $28.24B | +10.53% vs estimates (beat) | Positive |
| EPS (GAAP) | $0.33 | -32.65% vs estimates (miss) | Negative |
| Automotive gross margin | 16.3% | vs 19.2% prior quarter | Negative |
| Energy gross margin | 20.4% | vs 39.5% prior quarter | Negative |
| Deliveries (Americas) | Record (60% sequential growth) | Strong demand signal | Positive |
| Energy storage deployments | 13.5 GWh | 2nd largest quarter in history | Positive |
| 2026 capex guidance | >$25B | Arranging up to $30B in debt | Neutral/cautious |
| Robotaxi miles (weekly growth) | +10% | Per Musk: "fastest industrial scale-up since WWII" | Positive |
With three-quarters of 2026 now more visible, the Tesla stock forecast 2026 picture has shifted significantly. After touching a high near $446 in late May, TSLA sold off sharply through July — hitting a low of $304.18 on July 28 (Trading Economics). A partial recovery brought the stock to $362.86 by August 21 (+5.14% that day), before pulling back to $348.95 on August 24. The current price is now below the original model's low-end range of $366, and well below the August forecast of $396–$404. Key remaining catalysts for Q4: Cybercab commercial scale, Optimus production milestones, Q3 earnings.
| Month | Opening Price ($) | Closing Price ($) | Min Price ($) | Max Price ($) | Change (%) | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| April 2026 | 399 | 376 | 337 | 409 | −6% | Actual |
| May 2026 | 365 | 440 | 352 | 446 | +17% | Actual |
| June 2026 | 440 | 427 | 380 | 446 | −3% | Actual |
| July 2026 | 427 | 338–358 | 304 (Jul 28) | 427 | −15–20% | Actual (Jul 28 low: $304.18) |
| August 2026 (MTD) | 350 | 349–363 | 304 | 363 (Aug 21) | +5.1% Aug 21 | Partial actua |
| September 2026 | 404.28 | 418.86 | 404.28 | 419.45 | +3.48% | Forecast (model) |
| October 2026 | 417.78 | 422.69 | 413.96 | 422.69 | +1.16% | Forecast (model) |
| November 2026 | 425.81 | 436.59 | 425.77 | 436.59 | +2.47% | Forecast (model) |
| December 2026 | 436.77 | 447.91 | 436.77 | 448.58 | +2.49% | Forecast (model) |
Editor's note: The original August forecast ($396–$404) has been surpassed on the downside by actual developments. TSLA hit a low of $304.18 on July 28, recovered to $363 in mid-August, and trades near $349 on August 24. The September–December forecasts ($418–$448) require significant recovery from current levels (+20–29%). Q3 earnings and Cybercab progress are the primary catalysts to monitor.
The Tesla stock prediction 2027 models point to a year of steady, incremental gains — a continuation of the gradual uptrend projected throughout the 2026–2030 window. TSLA is expected to trade between approximately $438 in January and $520 by December 2027, implying a full-year gain of roughly +17% from early-year levels.
Note: These projections were calibrated when TSLA was trading below $400. With the stock at $349 on August 24, 2026 — further below the calibration base than at the July 15 update — the absolute price levels should be treated as indicative. The direction remains valid; the starting point has shifted lower. From the current $349, a $520 December 2027 target would imply a +49% gain over 16 months.
| Month | Opening Price ($) | Closing Price ($) | Min Price ($) | Max Price ($) | Monthly Change (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2027 | 447.68 | 444.67 | 444.67 | 449.06 | −0.68% |
| Feb 2027 | 446.05 | 438.20 | 438.20 | 447.21 | −1.79% |
| Mar 2027 | 436.43 | 438.68 | 428.61 | 438.68 | +0.51% |
| Apr 2027 | 438.29 | 437.76 | 437.19 | 439.96 | −0.12% |
| May 2027 | 439.33 | 445.38 | 438.57 | 445.38 | +1.36% |
| Jun 2027 | 445.25 | 458.05 | 445.25 | 458.05 | +2.79% |
| Jul 2027 | 457.97 | 466.87 | 457.97 | 468.04 | +1.91% |
| Aug 2027 | 468.29 | 476.06 | 467.79 | 476.24 | +1.63% |
| Sep 2027 | 476.97 | 490.52 | 476.70 | 491.95 | +2.76% |
| Oct 2027 | 489.90 | 494.13 | 486.07 | 494.13 | +0.86% |
| Nov 2027 | 497.40 | 508.17 | 497.40 | 508.17 | +2.12% |
| Dec 2027 | 509.38 | 519.92 | 509.38 | 520.81 | +2.03% |
The Tesla stock forecast for 2028 projects a year of continued moderate growth, with prices expected to climb from around $518 in January to approximately $592 by December — a projected full-year gain of roughly +14%. With TSLA now at $349 (August 24, 2026), the 2028 starting assumption has shifted further below the model's calibration base. The Tesla share price forecast direction remains intact, but actual trajectory will depend heavily on 2026–2027 execution.
| Month | Opening Price ($) | Closing Price ($) | Min Price ($) | Max Price ($) | Monthly Change (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2028 | 521.34 | 518.28 | 517.04 | 521.34 | −0.59% |
| Feb 2028 | 517.79 | 508.44 | 508.44 | 519.52 | −1.84% |
| Mar 2028 | 507.93 | 510.23 | 501.13 | 510.50 | +0.45% |
| Apr 2028 | 512.16 | 509.96 | 509.53 | 512.23 | −0.43% |
| May 2028 | 511.52 | 517.94 | 510.79 | 517.94 | +1.24% |
| Jun 2028 | 517.64 | 529.83 | 517.64 | 529.83 | +2.30% |
| Jul 2028 | 533.07 | 540.51 | 533.07 | 540.51 | +1.38% |
| Aug 2028 | 540.03 | 548.44 | 539.87 | 548.76 | +1.54% |
| Sep 2028 | 548.60 | 562.62 | 548.60 | 564.32 | +2.49% |
| Oct 2028 | 562.79 | 569.00 | 558.33 | 569.00 | +1.09% |
| Nov 2028 | 570.08 | 580.78 | 569.90 | 580.79 | +1.84% |
| Dec 2028 | 581.23 | 592.15 | 581.23 | 593.03 | +1.85% |
The Tesla stock predictions for 2029 point to continued steady appreciation, with TSLA projected to open the year near $590 and close December at approximately $666 — a full-year gain of around +12.7%. As with all projections in this range, the Tesla price prediction figures carry substantial uncertainty. Three years out, model assumptions about EV market share, autonomous driving regulation, macroeconomic conditions, and competitive dynamics can shift dramatically.
| Month | Opening Price ($) | Closing Price ($) | Min Price ($) | Max Price ($) | Monthly Change (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2029 | 593.60 | 590.57 | 589.46 | 593.75 | −0.51% |
| Feb 2029 | 589.92 | 581.49 | 581.49 | 592.02 | −1.45% |
| Mar 2029 | 579.76 | 582.10 | 573.82 | 582.22 | +0.40% |
| Apr 2029 | 584.27 | 583.71 | 581.91 | 584.54 | −0.10% |
| May 2029 | 583.25 | 589.42 | 583.00 | 589.73 | +1.05% |
| Jun 2029 | 589.56 | 601.35 | 589.56 | 601.35 | +1.96% |
| Jul 2029 | 604.56 | 612.26 | 604.56 | 612.78 | +1.26% |
| Aug 2029 | 612.80 | 620.36 | 611.99 | 620.62 | +1.22% |
| Sep 2029 | 623.07 | 635.25 | 623.07 | 636.56 | +1.92% |
| Oct 2029 | 635.61 | 641.64 | 630.71 | 641.64 | +0.94% |
| Nov 2029 | 641.52 | 652.62 | 641.52 | 652.62 | +1.70% |
| Dec 2029 | 656.11 | 665.85 | 656.11 | 665.85 | +1.46% |
The Tesla stock price prediction 2030 baseline puts TSLA in the range of $660–$738 by December 2030. From current levels of $349 (August 24, 2026), that would imply a cumulative gain of approximately +89–111% over roughly 4 years. More aggressive bull scenarios — driven by Cybercab at scale, Optimus commercial revenue, and AI platform monetization — have cited targets above $1,000 by 2030. Bear cases tied to margin collapse, competition from Chinese EV makers, or regulatory setbacks could significantly underperform these targets.
| Month | Opening Price ($) | Closing Price ($) | Min Price ($) | Max Price ($) | Monthly Change (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2030 | 665.34 | 662.14 | 661.93 | 666.14 | −0.48% |
| Feb 2030 | 661.92 | 653.32 | 653.32 | 664.41 | −1.32% |
| Mar 2030 | 652.03 | 653.88 | 645.98 | 653.88 | +0.28% |
| Apr 2030 | 656.28 | 655.44 | 654.33 | 657.00 | −0.13% |
| May 2030 | 656.02 | 661.34 | 655.20 | 661.52 | +0.80% |
| Jun 2030 | 663.88 | 672.90 | 663.73 | 672.90 | +1.34% |
| Jul 2030 | 676.05 | 685.04 | 676.05 | 685.08 | +1.31% |
| Aug 2030 | 684.37 | 692.18 | 684.16 | 692.52 | +1.13% |
| Sep 2030 | 694.74 | 708.36 | 694.69 | 708.86 | +1.92% |
| Oct 2030 | 707.46 | 713.07 | 703.22 | 713.14 | +0.79% |
| Nov 2030 | 713.40 | 724.04 | 713.40 | 724.04 | +1.47% |
| Dec 2030 | 727.50 | 737.59 | 727.50 | 738.08 | +1.37% |
Looking back at TSLA's performance throughout 2025 gives important context. The stock opened 2025 at approximately $379, fell to a yearly low of $221.86 in March, then staged a remarkable comeback, driven by improving delivery numbers, FSD progress, and broader market optimism. By mid-December, TSLA hit an all-time closing high of $489.88 (December 16), with an intraday peak of $498.83 on December 22, 2025. The stock closed the year at $449.72, marking a full-year gain of approximately +11.36%.
| Month | Price Range ($) | Monthly Change (%) | Key Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
| January 2025 | $326 – $426 | −11% | Post-rally cooldown from late 2024 highs |
| February 2025 | $279 – $384 | −14% | Broader market sell-off, Musk controversy |
| March 2025 | $222 – $300 | −16% | Yearly low approached; bearish sentiment peak |
| April 2025 | $222 – $284 | +5% | Early signs of stabilization |
| May 2025 | $250 – $310 | +8% | Recovery begins; 52-week low $273.21 on Jun 5 |
| June 2025 | $273 – $340 | +12% | Rebound gains momentum |
| July 2025 | $310 – $390 | +15% | Delivery beat expectations |
| August 2025 | $350 – $430 | +9% | Sustained uptrend |
| September 2025 | $295 – $445 | +8% | Volatile but bullish; strong close |
| October 2025 | $413 – $470 | +2% | Range-bound near highs |
| November 2025 | $370 – $470 | −4% | Consolidation after October surge |
| December 2025 | $420 – $498.83 | +11% | New all-time high; closed year at $449.72 |
Technical analysis of TSLA as of August 24, 2026 presents a notably weaker picture than mid-July. After recovering from the $304.18 July 28 low to $362.86 by August 21, the stock has pulled back to $348.95. All major moving averages remain above the current price, and momentum indicators are skewed to the downside with Stochastic (25) in oversold territory.
On the daily chart, the overall technical signal remains Strong Sell. TSLA is trading below both its 50-day MA ($390) and 200-day MA ($415). RSI 42 (neutral-to-sell). Stochastic 25 (approaching oversold — may signal near-term technical bounce). MACD −5.0 (Sell). The $304.18 low on July 28 represents a significant support zone; the $363 recovery high on August 21 is near-term resistance.
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 42 | Neutral/Sell |
| MACD (12,26) | −5.0 | Sell |
| MA50 (Simple) | 390 | Sell (price below) |
| MA200 (Simple) | 415 | Sell (price below) |
| MA5 (Simple) | 355 | Sell |
| ADX (14) | 32 | Sell |
| Stochastic (9,6) | 25 | Oversold |
| Overall Daily Signal | — | Strong Sell |
Key levels: Support — $304.18 (July 28 2026 low); $297.38 (52-week low). Resistance — $363 (Aug 21 recovery high); $390–$410 (MA50/MA200 zone); $446 (May 2026 high); $498.83 (52-week high, all-time close high Dec 16, 2025).
Tesla stock as of August 24, 2026 ($348.95) has declined significantly from the mid-July update level of $394, driven by Q2 earnings margin disappointments, the China recall of 3 million vehicles, AI talent attrition, and macroeconomic headwinds from new tariffs. The stock traded as low as $304.18 on July 28 before recovering to $362.86 by August 21. Technical indicators show Strong Sell, with Stochastic near oversold territory suggesting a possible near-term technical bounce.
The fundamental bull thesis remains intact — Cybercab is reportedly launching in Austin (August 17), Robotaxi miles are growing at 10% weekly, and energy storage hit its second-largest quarter ever. The question for investors is whether these long-term catalysts can outweigh near-term margin pressure and execution risks.
For the 2026–2030 forecast horizon: base-case models project $738 by December 2030, implying approximately +111% from current $349 levels. This requires Tesla to successfully transition from a pure automaker into a diversified technology, energy, and autonomous driving platform. Bull cases ($1,000+) require Cybercab and Optimus at commercial scale. Bear cases involve sustained margin compression, Chinese EV competition, or regulatory setbacks on autonomous vehicles.
This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Tesla stock carries significant risk and past price performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research or consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
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